Presidential Elections Margin Of Victory, Why Electoral College Wins Are Bigger Than Popular Vote Ones Pew Research Center

Rationalizing for those in need.

Senate elections vs house elections. 2020 us presidential election state margins prediction. For example note how much darker the map is in 2012 vs. In a united states presidential election the popular vote is the total number or percentage of votes cast for a candidate by voters in the 50 states and washington dc.

Historical presidential elections by state margin of victory. Presidential election with the exception below would be the difference between the number of electoral college votes garnered by the candidate with an absolute majority of electoral votes currently 270 of 538 and the number received by the second place candidate currently in the range of 2 to 538 a margin. Senator from delaware defeated the republican ticket of john mccain the senior senator from arizona and sarah palin the governor of alaska.

Our predicted margin of victory for the blue or red candidate is noted. Senator from illinois and joe biden the senior us. A strong economy lifted reagan to a decisive re election victory in every state except mondales native minnesota.

The 2008 united states presidential election was the 56th quadrennial presidential election held on tuesday november 4 2008the democratic ticket of barack obama the junior us. Change the year to display a different presidential election. In presidential elections a landslide election is generally agreed to be one in which the winning candidate secures at least 375 or 70 percent of the 538 electoral votes in the electoral college.

To arrive at these numbers we combined three factors. In fact only four states were decided by 5 or less in 2012. View recent presidential elections by popular vote margin of victory in each state.

1996 even though the 2012 race was closer in the electoral vote. The candidate who gets the most votes nationwide is said to have won the popular votehowever the popular vote is not used to determine who is elected as the nations president or vice president. For purposes of this article we are using electoral votes as a measure and not the popular vote.

Current polling averages andor models. Look at the competitiveness of each state as well as how it changes over time. With a margin of 2315 this is the 4th largest margin of victory in us.

One in which the opposition is buried in an election according to the late new york times political writer william safire in his safires political dictionary. A landslide victory in politics is an election in which the victor wins by an overwhelming marginthe term became popular in the 1800s to define a resounding victory. His winning total of 525 electoral votes remains the highest number of electoral votes ever received by a presidential candidate.